{"id":716,"date":"2026-03-19T21:06:17","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T18:06:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thesilknews.com\/en\/?p=716"},"modified":"2026-03-19T21:06:19","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T18:06:19","slug":"the-eu-poses-a-much-more-credible-threat-to-russia-than-the-inverse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thesilknews.com\/en\/index.php\/2026\/03\/19\/the-eu-poses-a-much-more-credible-threat-to-russia-than-the-inverse\/","title":{"rendered":"The EU Poses A Much More Credible Threat To Russia Than The Inverse"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov repeated long-standing policy in a recent interview when he told<\/a> his interlocutor that \u201cWe are not going to attack any part of Europe. We have absolutely no reason to do so. And if Europe opts to materialize its threats to prepare for war against us and starts attacking Russia, the president said that it will not be a special military operation on our part, it will be a full-scale military response with all available military means in accordance with the doctrinal documents on this matter.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To elaborate, Russia never had any plans to risk World War III by invading the Baltic States and\/or Poland, whose hostile populations would also represent an enduring security threat in any occupation. All such talk to the contrary is simply a reflection of what can be described as the trauma from the darker periods of their shard history with Russia, the details thereof being beyond the scope of this analysis to expound upon. It\u2019s sufficient to know that there\u2019s no basis to claims of militant Russian revanchism towards them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That being said, there\u2019s no doubt that Poland<\/a> and the rest of its European NATO allies in general pose credible security threats to Russia, but their nature is evolving and typically cautious Putin<\/a> won\u2019t authorize a first strike at the risk of sparking World War III. Prior to Russia\u2019s development of hypersonic missiles, US missile defense infrastructure in Poland undermined Russia\u2019s nuclear second-strike capabilities, but the aforesaid arms<\/a> have since restored strategic parity by neutralizing this threat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest Polish-emanating threat to Russia concerns its unprecedented military build-up, which has led to it commanding the EU\u2019s largest army<\/a> at over 215,000 troops, with plans to reach 300,000 by 2030<\/a> and half a million by 2039<\/a> (200,000 of which would be reservists). \u201cGermany Is Competing With Poland To Lead Russia\u2019s Containment<\/a>\u201d, while the EU promulgated the \u20ac800 billion \u201cReArm Europe Plan\u201d<\/a> last year, and all these reserves will swiftly reach the Russian\/Belarusian border due to the \u201cmilitary Schengen<\/a>\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This refers to early 2024\u2019s pact between the Netherlands, Germany, and Poland for facilitating the movement of troops and equipment across their borders, with plans for Belgium<\/a> and France<\/a> to join too. NATO\u2019s Eastern Flank<\/a> is also rapidly militarizing, not only in terms of redoubling their arms procurement and number of recruits, but also with regard to physical infrastructure. The \u201cEU Defense Line<\/a>\u201d, which links the \u201cBaltic Defense Line\u201d and Poland\u2019s \u201cEast Shield\u201d, is quickly turning into a new Iron Curtain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Most ominously, Trump 2.0\u2019s National Defense Strategy<\/a> declares that \u201cEuropean NATO dwarfs Russia in economic scale, population, and, thus, latent military power\u201d, all of this just has to be properly managed in order to most effectively contain Russia. Although Russia is winning the \u201crace of logistics<\/a>\u201d\/\u201cwar of attrition<\/a>\u201d with NATO in Ukraine, it\u2019ll be increasingly more difficult to maintain its lead, and the potential \u201cdwarfing\u201d of its capabilities by the EU could become an existential threat if a conflict ever breaks out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It\u2019s with this scenario in mind that Lavrov strongly implied that Russia would employ nuclear weapons in its response to any hypothetical invasion by the EU. If the US oversees the optimization of the EU\u2019s military-industrial complex, military logistics, and other defense-related matters, then the challenge that Russia might face along its western frontier could mirror the one in June 1941. Unlike back then, Russia is now a nuclear superpower, and that might be the only factor that deters the EU from invading Russia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This article was originally published on\u00a0Andre Korybko<\/a>\u2018s Substack account and is republished with the author\u2019s permission.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

If the US oversees the optimization of the EU\u2019s military-industrial complex, military logistics, and other defense-related matters with a view towards \u201cdwarfing\u201d Russia\u2019s associated capabilities, then the challenge that Russia might face along its western frontier could mirror the one in June 1941.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[203,204,249,262,261,77,258,263],"class_list":["post-716","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-opinion-analysis","tag-eu","tag-europe","tag-nato","tag-new-cold-war","tag-putin","tag-russia","tag-trump-2-0","tag-world-war-iii"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thesilknews.com\/en\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/716","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thesilknews.com\/en\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thesilknews.com\/en\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thesilknews.com\/en\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thesilknews.com\/en\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=716"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/thesilknews.com\/en\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/716\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":718,"href":"https:\/\/thesilknews.com\/en\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/716\/revisions\/718"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thesilknews.com\/en\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=716"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thesilknews.com\/en\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=716"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thesilknews.com\/en\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=716"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}